According to @caprioleio, the S&P 500 fell about 200 points over the past two weeks as markets flipped on December rate-cut expectations, moving from roughly 90% at the start of November to 30% and then back to 70% likelihood, impacting risk assets. source: @caprioleio, Nov 24, 2025 According to @caprioleio, if this reversion in rate-cut odds continues, it is expected to carry Bitcoin somewhat higher, indicating potential near-term upside for BTC. source: @caprioleio, Nov 24, 2025

According to @CNBC, Asia-Pacific markets are set for recovery on revived hopes of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts after last week’s tech losses, signaling improving risk appetite in the region, source: @CNBC. IMF analysis documents a strong positive correlation between major cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH and global equity risk sentiment, indicating that easing-rate expectations have historically acted as a macro tailwind for crypto prices, source: IMF 2022 analysis on crypto–equity correlations.